Open-Source Fire Science

Wildfire Models CAWFE

CAWFE Coupled Atmosphere-Wildland Fire Environment

Developed by Dr. Janice Coen at NCAR, the CAWFE model was developed to simulate the complex interactions between wildfires and atmospheric conditions. The CAWFE model integrates a high-resolution, nonhydrostatic numerical weather prediction model with a fire behavior module, enabling it to capture the two-way interactions between wildfires and the surrounding atmosphere.

CAWFE Fire Behavior

The development of CAWFE focused on coupling the Clark-Hall weather model with a detailed wildfire behavior model. The atmospheric component simulates winds and weather patterns at scales relevant to wildfire behavior, while the fire module simulates surface and crown fires, accounting for factors such as fuel properties, terrain, and the heat released by the fire. This heat release, in turn, affects local atmospheric conditions, creating feedback loops that influence the spread and intensity of the fire.

The fire module employs a combination of empirical, semi-empirical, and physical models to represent processes like the rate of spread, post-frontal heat release, and smoke production. The model also uses a tracer method to define and track the fireline at subgrid scales, allowing for detailed simulation of fire spread and its impacts on the atmosphere. This approach enables CAWFE to provide insights into both fire behavior and its broader environmental impacts.

CAWFE AT WORK

The CAWFE model has been used in various studies to understand fire-atmosphere interactions and to simulate specific wildfire events, helping researchers and decision-makers improve fire prediction and management strategies. Efforts are underway to incorporate CAWFE into the PyreCast platform, with full integration expected in Fall of 2026. For further details, you can refer to resources from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and related publications such as this paper.

Stay tuned to this page for updated animations as deliverables of the Pyregence Project.

CAWFE Case Studies

The McKinney Fire grew rapidly over its first 1.5 days, expanding over 50,000 acres in under 36 hrs, causing 4 fatalities, and producing deep convective clouds.

Spreading along canyons containing forks of the American River, fire activity intensified producing deep pyrocumulus clouds. September 8 contained the largest day's growth

On 12/30/21, during a downslope windstorm, at least two wildfires were reported in Boulder County, Colorado. The Middle Fork Fire ignited sometime after 10 a.m. north of the city of Boulder.

The Slater Fire was one of hundreds to ignite during a strong easterly wind event impacting the western face of the Cascades and Sierras during Labor Day weekend 2020

Three days after it was reported on Oct. 14, 2020, high winds and low humidity allowed the East Troublesome to spread to over 10,000 acres.

In first four days after ignition, the Creek Fire expanded 20,000-50,000 acres per day while satellite active fire detection data showed sustained active burning, indicating consumption of large fuel elements.

Following reports of an ignition near the Calwood community center, the Calwood fire ran nearly 10 km under gusty downslope winds

On its way to becoming one of the largest fires in California history, the North Complex, composed of multiple fires

On the same day as the Camp Fire, ignitions on the Santa Susanna Field Laboratory site spread rapidly under strong Santa Ana winds

Two ignitions during a strong, long-duration Santa Ana wind event set off the Thomas Fire. During the initial run, the two ignitions merged and the fire

On November 8, a strong Diablo wind event created strong winds over the Sierra Nevada Mountains, with locally strong winds near the Jarbo Gap and Feather River Canyon.

The Carr Fire, having been driven eastward and down toward the central valley by westerlies across the coastal range, created several fire whirls

Here, we applied CAWFE to investigate the flow regime and underlying mechanisms associated with the extreme winds and fire behavior during the Tubbs Fire.

On October 8-9, 2017, fourteen large wildfires developed rapidly during a strong Diablo wind event in northern California including the Redwood Valley Fire.

The Chimney Tops 2 Fire was one of several fires that burned in North Carolina and Tennessee during a very dry fall in the Appalachian Mountains.

The King Fire was ignited at 6:37 PM on Sept. 13, 2014, spread during a severe drought in the central Sierra Nevada mountain range

The Rim Fire was a massive plume-driven wildfire that experienced days of over 37,000 and 51,000 acres

On June 30, 2013, 19 firefighters were killed during the Yarnell Hill fire, when a gust front from the northeast blew across the fire, changing its direction

The High Park fire is reported to have been ignited by lightning strike. It grew rapidly during a Colorado Front Range downslope

The Little Bear Fire was ignited by lightning strike in the Sierra Blanco Mountains of New Mexico. It burned 17,939 ha (44,330 ac) and 254 buildings

The Esperanza fire was ignited on the upwind edge of the San Jacinto mountains during dry, windy Santa Ana conditions.

The Witch Creek Fire, followed by the McCoy and Guejito fire ignitions (included here), were part of a late October southern California outbreak driven by a strong Santa Ana wind event

The Carr Fire, having been driven eastward and down toward the central valley by westerlies across the coastal range, created several fire whirls